Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Article 3. Estimating Savings From the Lawrence Rosier Approach

Most of the savings presented in this website comes as a result of implementations of my Government Reform Models which are largely based on Lean. Lean provides a vehicle for generating dollar savings and quality improvement over time through improvement of the processes used and or the services delivered. These savings deliver real value in reduced expenditure and in better service to the public. It is difficult to determine just how much savings is going to be found or even when it’s going to be found (savings may continue for years from innovation) but it is known that the Lean approach can make a significant difference in a government or a private organization. 

Most of the current savings data comes from the implementation of individual Lean studies made in government and industry.  The main problem is that these implementations are aimed at the trees in a forest of waste which is occurring all around them But there is a second problem much of the savings is never realized because bureaucracies are reluctant to reduce the staffing identified by the Lean implementations. 

The second area for savings from the General Reform Model is in using the data from the Enterprise Lean Team studies to do Work Measurement where the work performed by each Function’s processes are measured and documented. The result is the known number of hours required to do each Function which also determines the staffing required. I use a general rule of thumb to define “over staffing” as 20% of the work force in all areas where work measurement is not done. This rule has been verified by data from Alexander Proudfoot implementations which found that from 17% to 20% overstaffing occurring in private companies.  I have also found that this over staffing number may be significantly higher than 20% in government.

One of the reasons for this is that work assignments in a bureaucracy are usually made to individual employees (in an organization chart) regardless of the actual time required to do the job. This means that one employee may have a task that occupies 90% and another just 30% of his time. These inequalities show up during the process of Work Measurement. This problem goes away when a Lean Team is assigned these tasks because the Team has responsibility for finding the best way to get the task completed with no time lost.  These staffing problems are mostly found in government but are also found in the office and other overhead areas in private companies.

The third area where staffing is reduced is during the final step of the General Reform Model where the Bureaucratic hierarchically structured organization is changed to a Team Managed organization. In this process many managers may become redundant during the elimination of the Bureaucratic hierarchical structure of government and industry.

The above savings from process improvements and over staffing is in addition to other savings from Consolidating State Services, Streamlining Government Boards and Commissions, and through implementation of an Information Technology Data Center using Integrated Data Bases. 

Enough about savings what you really want to know is the return on investment. I have said in other places that the implementation of my Reform models could be done largely by the State’s own resources. That is the training for Lean could be done by the State’s Training Department. And the determination of staffing by auditors and budget analysts. The Federal Government  and some states have put in place a hiring freeze making available HR personnel for training as Lean Facilitators.  My estimate for ROI is about $100 return for each $1 invested.

Rule of Thumb for estimating State Savings
The following is the minimum expected savings only from staffing reductions for each state based on 20% of state payroll data from the US census bureau. Actual savings may vary with the application of the General Reform Model and from additional savings from the Consolidation Model (for consolidating agencies).

Alabama               $181,800,000
Alaska             45,460,000
Arizona             234,120,000
Arkansas             96,160,000
California             1,901,380,000
Colorado             205,960,000
Connecticut             171,580,000
Delaware             39,880,000
Florida             656,520,000
Georgia             340,800,000
Hawaii            57,580,000
Idaho             51,540,000
Illinois             518,040,000
Indiana             224,520,000
Iowa             129,700,000
Kansas             120,060,000
Kentucky             147,560,000
Louisiana             162,400,000
Maine             50,480,000
Maryland                          264,420,000
Massachusetts                   292,060,000
Michigan             397,280,000
Minnesota             225,260,000
Mississippi                      108,260,000
Missouri             202,440,000
Montana             35,520,000
Nebraska             76,660,000
Nevada             98,780,000
New Hampshire         50,440,000
New Jersey             501,520,000
New Mexico             82,840,000
New York             1,138,220,000
North Carolina         362,580,000
North Dakota             27,360,000
Ohio             458,120,000
Oklahoma             130,220,000
Oregon             147,240,000
Pennsylvania             454,340,000
Rhode Island            47,820,000
South Carolina         158,000,000
South Dakota             26,120,000
Tennessee             208,000,000
Texas             899,380,000
Utah             92,380,000
Vermont             28,480,000
Virginia             324,666,000
Washington             298,940,000
West Virginia         60,600,000
Wisconsin             216,840,000
Wyoming             33,000,000

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